I've long thought Tony could make a comeback. And while it's clearly far from certain, it's just become a whole lot more likely IMHO.
That's because Malcolm Turnbull is a dead man walking. It took a while, but the electorate has finally woken up to the fact that this guy has no core principles. He's just fulfilling his lifelong dream of being PM.
Seems the main thing motivating him is his desire to be adored by the virtue signalling luvvies of the mainstream media. Being the PC totalitarians they are, their goals are in direct opposition to those of most of the electorate.
Then there's the fact that dinkum conservative Cory Bernardi looks set to start his own political party, which will draw a whole buncha conservatives, many of whom are “delcons”, away from the LNP.
With its conservative base being eaten away by Bernardi's party, One Nation and the Australian Liberty Alliance, the Coalition will have to do something pretty, er, radical to stay in the game. And I think re-installing Abbott as PM is what they may well choose to do. (Yes, they might ultimately decide against it. But they're still gonna give it some very serious thought, I'll bet.)Senator Cory Bernardi will form his own political party called Australian Conservatives #auspol #bernardi https://t.co/FGPcQfDgHB pic.twitter.com/emg6uuRBBj— ABC News (@abcnews) February 6, 2017
Now, when Tony was PM he certainly made some crazy calls. And the narrative about him giving Credlin too much sway, thereby causing much resentment from MPs, seems to have a lot of truth to it. So replacing him wasn't solely due to the Coalition's many left-leaning pollies responding to Turnbull's skullduggery. Still, these were huge factors.
And without a doubt the voters were really pissed off about the way he took over, particularly after the Rudd-Gillard-Rudd saga. Now, knifing Malcolm before the next election will of course be more of the same in a sense because he was ultimately elected as PM. Still, it has a kind of karmic symmetry to it that I think a lot of voters will appreciate!
And Tony definitely has qualities that the LNP desperately need right now and into the future. Firstly, he's a known quantity. Like his mentor John Howard, he's a conviction politician. Love him or loathe him, you definitely know what you're getting.
Also, he is a sincere conservative. Any other household names in the LNP who fit that description?
By putting him at the helm again they'll be saying to their traditional base: “We hear you. And we won't ignore your concerns again.”
If they don't do this -- or something pretty similar -- they're screwed, let's face it.